2020-10-09
2020-10-09
Medium-term forecast for oil, gold, and EURUSD 09.10.2020Alex Rodionov
I welcome my colleagues! I have made a price forecast for US Crude, XAUUSD, and EURUSD using a combination of margin zones methodology and technical analysis. Based on the market analysis, I suggest trading signals for traders who trade in medium-term trends.
This week, oil has been rising from the trend key support [37.34 — 36.72].
The article covers the following subjects:
The oil medium-term trend is up. This week, the oil price has been rising from the trend key support [37.34 – 36.72] with a target at Target Zone 5 [41.67 – 40.92]. The target has been reached.
The further oil trend will depend on the buyers’ ability to break out the resistance and consolidate above. If they succeed, the next upside targets will be the high of August and Target Zone 6 [49.17 — 48.42].
If Target Zone 5 is held, the price will be corrected down to the key support zone.
Based on the market analysis, I see two possible scenarios:
After Target Zone 5 [41.67 – 40.92] is broken out, buy on the retest TakeProfit: 43.50, Target Zone 6 [49.17 - 48.42].
Sell according to the pattern in Target Zone 5 [41.67 - 40.92]. TakeProfit: Target Zone [37.34 - 36.72]. StopLoss: according to the pattern rules.
The Gold medium-term trend hasn’t changed much. The middle-term trend is down, the price is trading under the resistance [1922.4 – 1913.1]. This week, the price tested the triangle support level, broken-out earlier. Next, the sell pattern has formed, a pin bar with a confirmation.
For next week, I recommend holding gold sell trades. A reasonable stop loss is above level 1922.5. The target will be at the low of September and Target Zone [1829.4 – 1820.1].
The border of the middle-term downtrend is in Target Zone [1951.0 — 1941.7].
Hold down sell trades entered in Target Zone [1922.4 - 1913.1]. TakeProfit: Target Zone 2 [1829.4 - 1820.1]. StopLoss: 1927.0.
Sell according to the pattern in Target Zone [1951.0 - 1941.7]. TakeProfit: Target Zone 2 [1829.4 - 1820.1]. StopLoss: according to the pattern rules.
The EURUSD middle-term correction continues. The correction target is to test the key resistance of the middle-term downtrend [1.1832 – 1.1812]. After the zone test, I suggest looking for a sell pattern. When there is a sell pattern, it will be relevant to sell the instrument with a target at Target Zone 2 [1.1611 – 1.1591].
An alternative scenario to buy the euro. The price breaks out Target Zone [1.1832 – 1.1812] and the middle-term trend turns up. It will work out when the price consolidates above the zone at two US trading sessions. If so, we shall enter buy trades in the strong support zones with the target in the upper Target Zone 2 [1.2032 - 1.2012].
Sell according to the pattern in Target Zone [1.1832 - 1.1812]. TakeProfit: Target Zone 2 [1.1611 - 1.1591]. StopLoss: according to the pattern rules.
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The content of this article reflects the author’s opinion and does not necessarily reflect the official position of LiteForex. The material published on this page is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered as the provision of investment advice for the purposes of Directive 2004/39/EC.
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